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That shakiness around when the cuts are coming, as well as the expectation that rates could remain higher for longer creates an opportunity for active managers. Rick Rieder, BlackRock's global chief investment officer of fixed income, told CNBC in a phone interview. Indeed, core bond funds were among the winners in the 2008 crisis. For starters, they should think about the role they want a given bond fund to play within their portfolio: Is it to offset equity risk or to boost returns? "You're not investing in bond funds to shoot the lights out and build your wealth pile," said Morningstar's Jacobson.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, Eric Jacobson, Morningstar, John Croke ,, Morningstar's Jacobson, Jaime Quinones, they're, Quinones Organizations: Federal Reserve, Barclays, Bank of America, Citigroup, CNBC, Bloomberg, SEC, Morningstar, Vanguard, Stockade Wealth Management, Mutual Locations: Marlboro , N.J
HTRB saw a total return last year of 7.15%, and ranked in the 23rd percentile among its peers, according to Morningstar. The portfolio has 51% of its assets in mortgage-backed securities and 25% in investment-grade credit, according to the fund's website. Compared to many of its peers in the intermediate core plus bond Morningstar category, Hartford Total Return Bond ETF leans a bit more on securitized markets instead of investment-grade corporate debt, according to Morningstar. Finding opportunities Right now, one of the areas Goodman sees value in is agency mortgage-backed securities. Goodman also likes structured finance right now, like collateralized loan obligations, commercial mortgage-backed securities and nonagency residential mortgage-backed securities.
Persons: Campe Goodman, Morningstar, Goodman, HTRB, Morningstar . Goodman, Mike Mulach, Bonds, Fitch Organizations: Hartford, SEC, Wellington, Bloomberg U.S, Morningstar, BB, Poor's, Federal Reserve Locations: Wellington, Eastern Europe
Investors with cash on the sidelines may want to start moving some of that money into bonds, according to a new report from BlackRock. The bond market has seen some volatility amid the uncertainty around interest rates and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Bond yields move inversely to prices. US10Y YTD mountain 10-year Treasury yields Yields are at levels not seen in 20 years, he pointed out. Aggregate Bond ETF year to date The iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (IUSB) is also a passively managed, broad bond market fund which adds exposure to potentially higher-yielding names.
Persons: Steve Laipply, shouldn't, Laipply Organizations: Federal, Treasury, BlackRock, Fed, Core, Aggregate Bond, Bloomberg U.S, SEC, Aggregate, Bond Locations: BlackRock
Bill Gross says bond prices will be higher rather than lower in the near term as Treasury issuance surges. Gross also said the "total return" bond strategy he helped develop in the 1980s is dead. AdvertisementThe high level of US debt issuance signals to investors that they should expect yields to move higher, not lower, according to "bond king" Bill Gross. AdvertisementGross explained that while Treasury debt has been growing at a rapid rate, other types of debt, including business and household debt, have been growing more slowly. As a result, in order to make up for this difference, the government must ramp up Treasury debt by over 10% to uphold 5.5% nominal GDP growth, he wrote.
Persons: Bill Gross, Gross, , PIMCO Organizations: Service, Treasury, Federal
That said, in general, most investors would be best served buying a diversified bond fund, said Mulach. What to look for in bond fundsThere are several factors to consider when investing in a bond fund. Intermediate-core durations typically range between 75% and 135% of the three-year average of the effective duration of the Morningstar Core Bond Index. Top Morningstar Bond Funds Ticker Fund Morningstar Category Type 30-day SEC yield Adj. Aggregate Bond ETF can be a great option to simply replicate that index, he said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, shouldn't, Morningstar, Mike Mulach, Chuck Failla, Failla, Mulach, You'll, Baird, BSBSX Baird, Morningstar's Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Sovereign Financial, Morningstar, SEC, Mutual, FLTB Fidelity, Fidelity, Hartford, Aggregate
And that's seen by the dot plot and their own inability to predict when interest rate cuts are going to happen." Related storiesWhen the yield curve is inverted, meaning short-term rates are above longer-term ones, a barbell strategy in bonds means betting on long- and short-duration bonds. And that barbell is kind of what investing in the yield curve looks like today", Huffman said. But if interest rates fall, you will be forced to reinvest in a lower interest rate environment. Avoid the 10-year or 30-year duration bonds because they will face a negative yield curve role, which could reduce their total return potential, she added.
Persons: Taylor Huffman, Huffman, it's Organizations: PT Asset Management, Business, Management's, Bond, Securities
UBS doesn't see the Federal Reserve embarking on rate cuts until September — and that means now is the time to snap up tax-free municipal bonds. Bond yields and prices move inversely, so a decline in rates will come with price appreciation for the underlying issues. "Against that backdrop, we believe that yields on quality municipal bonds look attractive at current levels," wrote UBS Wealth Management senior municipal bond strategist Kathleen McNamara in a report last week. The kicker of tax-free income Muni bonds are generally backed by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which makes them less of a default risk compared with corporates. Large diversified municipal bond funds can be cheap, but state-focused funds tend to be a little more costly.
Persons: Kathleen McNamara, McNamara, FKTFX Organizations: UBS, Federal, UBS Wealth Management, Bond, SEC, Vanguard California, Franklin, Franklin California Tax, Income Fund, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard New Locations: There's, New York , California, New Jersey, California, Franklin California
Investors have been raking in income thanks to attractive yields in the U.S. bond market. Investing in global bond funds Individual investors can add exposure to foreign bonds through global bond funds. There are hedged funds, which hedge foreign currency exposure back to the U.S. dollar and therefore reduce currency risk. "It's good to be diversified because foreign bond exposure is a massive part of the global bond markets," Mulach said. Here are Morningstar's top picks for global bond exposure: The Pimco strategies keep the bulk of their non-U.S. currency exposure hedged back to the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, Collin Martin, Martin, It's, Mike Mulach, Mulach, Rick Rieder's, Darla Mercado Organizations: BlackRock, SEC, Investment, U.S ., European, European Central Bank, Federal, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Morningstar, U.S, Strategic Global Bond Fund, Investor, Morningstar . Dodge, Cox's Global Bond Fund Locations: U.S, Europe, BlackRock, Mexico, Brazil
That success can be seen in funds like the Morningstar five-star, gold-rated Baird Aggregate Bond Fund . BAGSX 1Y mountain Baird Aggregate Bond Fund, investor shares Since BAGIX's inception in 2000, it has seen a 4.74% annualized gain through March 31, 2024, according to Baird. The team runs a number of fixed income funds in addition to the Baird Aggregate Bond Fund, including the Morningstar five-star rated Baird Intermediate Bond Fund. The product was one of the top performing actively managed bond funds in 2023, according to Morningstar. With the yield curve still inverted, short-term term Treasury bills are yielding over 5%.
Persons: Baird, Mary Ellen Stanek, Stanek, hasn't, Morningstar, we've Organizations: Baird Advisors, CNBC, Bond Fund, Institutional, SEC, Investor, Bloomberg U.S, First Wisconsin Trust, Treasury, Bond, Morningstar, Pensions, Investments, AAA, MBS
"We believe the recent back up in rates is probably the last best opportunity to extend duration," wrote Gargi Pal Chaudhuri, chief investment and portfolio strategist, Americas, at BlackRock. Generally speaking, the value of a bond goes up as interest rates go down, with longer-dated bonds seeing the biggest gains. While bond funds have been seeing inflows this year, there are still plenty of investors with excess cash in short-term accounts. Different funds that offer that type of exposure include the iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) , the SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (SPTI) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (VGIT) . Investors shouldn't go overboard with adding duration, because the long-term bonds on the market carry extra risk, Akullian said.
Persons: BlackRock's, Gargi Pal Chaudhuri, Kristy Akullian, It's, Akullian, Investors shouldn't Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investment Company Institute, BlackRock, CNBC, Treasury Bond ETF, Research, Investors Locations: Americas, BlackRock, US10Y
"Your biggest mistake could be rushing back into equities before you're considering all these opportunities in fixed income," BondBloxx co-founder and COO Joanna Gallegos told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. To manage interest rate volatility effectively, Gallegos suggests investors look to exchange-traded funds focused on intermediate term bonds. Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Tony Rochte recommends a similar medium-term strategy with vehicles like the Eaton Vance Total Return Bond ETF (EVTR) under his firm's management. Rochte also pointed to municipal bond funds, like the Eaton Vance Short Duration Municipal Income ETF (EVSM), for income-generating opportunities. "We also converted a municipal bond mutual fund last Monday here at the NYSE to an ETF, symbol EVSM, and that's a municipal.
Persons: BondBloxx, Joanna Gallegos, CNBC's, Gallegos, Morgan Stanley, Tony Rochte, Eaton Vance, Rochte Organizations: Treasury, Morgan Stanley Investment, Eaton, Bond, NYSE
Interest in fixed income has increased over the past year after rising bond yields put them back on investors' radars. Related storiesCorporate bonds with high yields are the new darling as investors dig for returns that beat inflation, Klein said. The Bloomberg US Corporate High Yield Index, a measurement of non-investment grade bonds, has a yield to worst (a measure of the lowest possible yield) of 7.65% and a one-year total return of 12.9%. It's unusual for equities to be doing very well and high yield to be doing poorly, he added. But buyers beware: high-yield bonds are also called non-investment grade and junk bonds, and it's for good reason.
Persons: there's, Goldman Sachs, Patrick Klein, Franklin, Klein, Goldman, don't Organizations: Business, Franklin Templeton, Bloomberg
Overall, actively managed mutual funds and exchange-traded funds fell short of passive funds, with 47% of active strategies surviving and beating their index-following peers, according to Morningstar. However, actively managed funds outperformed in the bond category. About 53% of active bond managers survived and beat the passive average in 2023, up from 30% in 2022, the research firm said in a recent report . Intermediate core bond funds largely invest in investment-grade debt, spanning from government issues to corporates. Core bond funds have also held up in recessions, thanks to their diversification across fixed income and duration.
Persons: Morningstar, Paul Olmsted, Olmsted, Olmstead, It's Organizations: Morningstar, Vanguard, Bond Market, Aggregate Bond, Intermediate Bond Fund
April 15 is the deadline for taxpayers to file their income tax returns and pay sums owed for 2023. MLPs themselves aren't subject to federal income taxes, but limited partners owe taxes on the income distributed. MLPX has a total return of 7.6% in 2024, and MLPA's year-to-date total return is 9.3%, according to Morningstar. In 2024, IYK has a total return of nearly 4.7%, while XLU's total return is about 0.7%, according to Morningstar. MFM's total return this year is 3.66%, and NZF has a total return of 3.4% in 2024, according to Morningstar.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, , MLPX, IYK, Morningstar, XLU, NZF Organizations: Bank of America, MLP & Energy Infrastructure, X MLP, Morningstar, Consumer Staples, Income Trust, Income Locations: MLPs, Indonesia, America, Nuveen
The price of bond funds like TLT move in the opposite direction of bond yields, meaning lower prices equal higher yields. TLT 1M mountain The iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF has fallen for eight straight trading sessions. Only two of the trading sessions have seen a decline of more than 0.5%. One of the TLT's main competitors, the Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) , also fell for eight-straight trading sessions. The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) has only fallen in five of the past eight sessions, for example.
Persons: Jason Goepfert Organizations: U.S . Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, Federal, White Oak Consultancy
Just because the current valuation backdrop isn't as extreme as 1999-2000, we are still in a market bubble, and valuations are even more stretched today than they were at the market peaks in 2007, 1990, and 1980." Rosenberg ResearchSecond, the S&P 500 is outperforming the HYG/TLT Ratio. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchAnd third, even tech stocks, which have been overwhelmingly supporting the S&P 500, appear to be running out of gas, Rosenberg said. The same goes for Paul Dietrich, the chief strategist at B. Riley Wealth, who says the S&P 500 could fall 49% when the current bubble pops. The bull market has thrown egg onto their faces again and again: since the October 2022 lows, the S&P 500 is up a whopping 42%.
Persons: , David Rosenberg isn't, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, he's, manias, HYG, Michael Hartnett, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Dietrich, Grantham, Carol Schleif Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity Model, Dow Jones, Dow Transports Index, Bank of America's, Bank, America, BMO Family Office
New York CNN —The average federal tax refund is more than $3,000, according to the latest data from the IRS. … They don’t understand how much interest they’re paying,” Russ said. Create or add to an emergency fundYou can use your refund to start or bolster an emergency fund. If you have high-rate debt and you’re lacking emergency savings, Russ suggested you might use a portion of your refund to attack your debt and the other portion to create an emergency fund. If you need the money within three years, you might consider putting your refund in certificates of deposits and US Treasury bonds.
Persons: you’re, , Eric Bronnenkant, Keyana Russ, ” Russ, Russ, Bronnenkant, Roth,  Bronnenkant, Charles Schwab, ” Bronnenkant Organizations: New, New York CNN, Ponds Financial, Invest, Roth IRA, Treasury Locations: New York, Ponds
Such a move would bode well for fixed income, including municipal bonds. Recent data from Columbia Threadneedle Investments and Bloomberg, shows that muni bonds can see a jump in cumulative tax-equivalent returns once the Fed begins cutting rates. When taking into account the tax savings, muni bond investors don't have to take that much risk to capture attractive yields. Rising flows and higher yields Investors have been pouring money into muni bond funds lately. BlackRock's iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) , meanwhile, has seen an exodus of more than $1 billion in flows this year, but it experienced inflows of $150.9 million in the past week.
Persons: Jerome Powell, bode, munis, Catherine Stienstra, BlackRock's, Duane McAllister, Baird Organizations: Federal Reserve, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Bloomberg, York Life Investments, Columbia, Bond, Muni Bond ETF, Baird Asset Management, AAA, BBB Locations: Columbia
As investors ponder how — and where — to invest in this uncertain climate, CNBC Pro asked market experts where they recommend allocating $100,000. "By investing purely in cash and fixed income, you can already get a decent return," Jia said. And with global central banks cutting rates, fixed income will likely benefit from capital gains as well because of the duration." Within fixed income, Jia likes government bonds from developed countries and investment-grade bonds from "reputable firms," which offer "quality" and "longer-term growth" potential. Investors nearing retirement, for instance, should have a more conservative portfolio mix of 80% in fixed income and 20% in equities, according to Jia.
Persons: Paul Christopher —, Christopher, Kevin Teng, Teng, Morgan Stanley, Rickie Jia, Jia, Group's Teng, Pictet's Jia Organizations: Treasury, Wells Fargo Investment, CNBC Pro, Wrise Wealth Management Singapore, U.S . Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Pictet Wealth Management Locations: Wells Fargo, Asia, East, Europe, U.S
An efficient portfolio typically focuses on both income and price returns, said certified financial planner David Blanchett, head of retirement research at PGIM, the asset management arm of insurer Prudential Financial. "It really depends on that retirees' perception of how they're going to access their savings to fund their retirement spending," Blanchett said. Higher yields are doing the heavy lifting Generally, the rule of thumb is to withdraw about 4% of your portfolio a year during retirement. His firm uses the Dodge & Cox Income (DODIX) fund and BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities (BSIIX) fund. "If you have a diversified portfolio, in theory, you can actually get higher income over time as the companies that you own pay out higher dividends," he said.
Persons: David Blanchett, who's, Blanchett, Barry Glassman, Glassman, Brandon Goldstein, " Goldstein Organizations: Prudential Financial, Treasury, Wealth Services, CNBC, Dodge, Cox, Prudential Locations: PGIM, North Bethesda , Maryland, BlackRock
"Investors have registered $195mn of outflows from HY muni ETFs over the past year while piling $3,130mn into long duration US Treasury bond funds. … In our view, Treasury bond ETFs have too much inflation risk and will continue to underperform Prudent Yield credit assets. Municipal bonds are debt issued by state and local governments whose interest payments can be tax-free for investors. But municipal bonds look relatively safe within that group, according to Bank of America. Bank of America's top-rated municipal bond ETFs include the SPDR Nuveen Bloomberg High Yield Municipal Bond ETF (HYMB) and the VanEck High Yield Muni ETF (HYD) .
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, munis, HYMB Organizations: Bank of America, HY muni, , Federal Reserve, Bank of America's, Bloomberg, ETF, Muni Locations: HY
It may be time to consider adding emerging markets bonds to your fixed-income portfolio. His Vanguard Emerging Markets Bond Fund (VEGBX) is rated five stars by Morningstar. BlackRock also likes emerging markets, specifically external currency debt. Often issued in U.S. dollars, hard currency EM debt is also cushioned from EM currency weakness as EM central banks cut rates," she wrote. He suggests working with an advisor if you want to add EM bonds to your portfolio.
Persons: shying, Daniel Shaykevich, Morningstar, you'd, Shaykevich, Wei Li, Vanguard's Shaykevich, It's Organizations: Vanguard, Emerging Markets Bond Fund, BlackRock, U.S, BlackRock Investment Locations: Treasurys, America, Mexico, Brazil, Saudi Arabia
About six months later, after doing their own research, they discovered low-cost index fund investing , a relatively low-risk and hands-off strategy that aims to match the returns of a specific market index. Putting their money to work in stock market index funds helped them reach their current net worth of just above $1 million — but it’s not their only investment. BI verified their net worth by looking at investment account screenshots and property appraisal documents. Bond market index funds“While stocks and rental real estate can generate high returns, they’re also volatile,” they write. “To smooth out the ride, we hold bonds.”Specifically, they hold the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ( BND ).
Persons: Lauren, Steven Keys, , ” Steven, Steven, we've, it’s, , they’re, Keys, “ It's, Roth IRAs, Roth Organizations: Business, Vanguard, Market Index, Index, ” Employees, HSAs Locations: Gainesville , Florida, We're
Of the banks under Wells Fargo's coverage, Discover was the first to trim its online savings account rate for this rate cycle, according to analyst Michael Kaye. It's a marked turn from when online banks jockeyed for customers' deposits as the Fed began raising rates in March 2022. Too good to last See below for a table of online banks and the APY they're offering on savings accounts. The catch with savings accounts is that banks can opt to tweak their yields at any time. Investors hoping to play a lower rate environment with exchange-traded funds may want to consider buying intermediate-term bond funds .
Persons: Michael Kaye, Banks, Ally, Cowen, Moshe Orenbuch, Cash that's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Discover Financial, Financial, Fed, Investors Locations: Wells
Investors with a focus on tax-free income have two new choices to consider from Vanguard as the asset manager launches a pair of municipal bond exchange-traded funds. Tax advantages The biggest selling point for municipal bond funds is the tax-free income they provide. VTEC follows the S & P California AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index, while VTEI tracks the S & P Intermediate Term National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index. However, in November, $2.8 billion in assets flowed into intermediate-term muni bond funds, followed by another $2.3 billion in December, Morningstar found. said Foos of municipal bond funds.
Persons: Beth Foos, there's, VTEI, Jeffrey Johnson, Johnson, Morningstar, it's Organizations: Vanguard, California, Bond, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, York Life Investments, Free Municipal Bond Index, Free Municipal Bond, muni, Treasury Locations: California
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